Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2.06	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.71	2.14	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.96)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
54.5%

Matteo Arnaldi
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Hanfmann (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 139. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 74.

Hanfmann is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arnaldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hanfmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Tibo Colson - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Luca Nardi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

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