Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Akira Santillan		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.07)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Akira Santillan
41.6%

Luka Pavlovic
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akira Santillan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Akira Santillan - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Santillan is ranked ATP: 313., and Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 201..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Pavlovic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Pavlovic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Santillan has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Pavlovic - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.8%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Kaigaoge Kang - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Hunter Heck - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Ha Minh Duc Vu - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Luka Pavlovic - Akira Santillan	2:0

Upcoming Matches