Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Pavel Kotov		Akira Santillan

	1	2
	1.22	4.00	Watch
	1.24	3.60
	1.25	3.75
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.27	3.85
	1.23	3.73	Watch
	1.23	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	3.74 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
75.1%

Akira Santillan
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pavel Kotov - Akira Santillan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Santillan (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santillan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 221. Santillan is ranked ATP: 319.

Kotov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Santillan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kotov is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Omar Jasika - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Sanhui Shin - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Akira Santillan - Pavel Kotov	0:2

Upcoming Matches