Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.65	2.37
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.64	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	2.37 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
59.6%

Zachary Svajda
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Svajda will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Svajda (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 4 - 80%). Svajda (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 19. Svajda is ranked ATP: 99.

Davidovich Fokina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Svajda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Svajda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Sho Shimabukuro	Svajda Z. retired ✺
21.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2

Upcoming Matches