Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Alex Michelsen		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.76
	2	1.81	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.75)	1.75 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
45.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 14.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
20.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Filip Misolic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
16.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?WWL

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