Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.5	1.19	Watch
	4.96	1.21
	3.20	1.35	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	4.56	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (4.52)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
21.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

79.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 110. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 14.

Recent form of Bellucci has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Davidovich Fokina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mattia Bellucci	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?LLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1

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