Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	2.58	1.54
	2.50	1.48	Watch
			Watch
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.37)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
34.9%

Elmer Moller
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moller will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 269. Moller is ranked ATP: 117.

Moro Canas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moller's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Johannes Ingildsen - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Francisco Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Orlando Luz	Moro Canas A. walkover ✺
21.09.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWL?W
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Elias Ymer - Elmer Moller	Ymer E. retired ✺
22.09.25	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jaume Munar - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 W?LLW

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