Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.06	1.69	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
45.6%

Elmer Moller
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Henrique Rocha - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Moller will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Moller (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 50%). Moller (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 171. Moller is ranked ATP: 117.

Rocha is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moller is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Elias Ymer - Elmer Moller	Ymer E. retired ✺
22.09.25	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jaume Munar - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha	2:0

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