Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.52	1.54
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
37.2%

Ignacio Buse
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alejandro Moro Canas - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 197. Buse is ranked ATP: 177.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Buse could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Jason Kubler - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Ignacio Buse - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Radu Albot - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Borna Coric - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse	Opelka R. retired ✺
01.05.25	Ignacio Buse - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLL?W

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