The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reilly Opelka 53.8%
Ignacio Buse 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Buse will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 40% – 93.4%.