Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Ignacio Buse		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.44
	2.86	1.41	Watch
			Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.17)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
33.9%

Luciano Darderi
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ignacio Buse - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 210. Darderi is ranked ATP: 46.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darderi could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

Darderi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Moise Kouame	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Calvin Hemery - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
24.04.25	Quentin Halys - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WLW?

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