Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.2	4.4	Watch
	1.22	4.8
	1.23	4.8
	1.2	4.5
	1.2	4.63	Watch
	1.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.37)	4.57 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
79.1%

Alejandro Moro Canas
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Munich
15.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Daniel Masur - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

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