Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Zsombor Piros		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.55	2.52
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	2.48 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
62.2%

Alejandro Moro Canas
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Zsombor Piros - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Zsombor Piros will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Piros is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moro Canas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Piros will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Munich
18.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Daniel Masur - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL

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