Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Finke T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.54	1.57
	2.54	1.57
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.48	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.59)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
38.4%

Dominic Thiem
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Thiem will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Daniel Masur - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Cazaux	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LWL

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