Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Luka Mikrut		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.82	2
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
53.2%

Joel Schwaerzler
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Luka Mikrut - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikrut (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Luka Mikrut will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 242. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 236.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mikrut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Oleg Prihodko - Luka Mikrut	Prihodko O. retired ✺
09.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LW?WL
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Luka Mikrut - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide