Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Balmforth R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 3, SportKlub 4
Spain	C+ Extra


	Alejandro Tabilo		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.48	1.59
	2.48	1.6
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	1.41	2.94	Watch
	1.39	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.36)	1.91 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
46.9%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	0%	77.3%

Alejandro Tabilo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Zizou Bergs	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
17.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LLWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Casper Ruud	2:3 ✺
28.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

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