Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.48	1.59
	2.48	1.6
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.41	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.34)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
39.2%

Brandon Nakashima
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Alejandro Tabilo - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
03.03.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Brandon Nakashima - Terence Atmane	Atmane T. retired ✺
18.03.24	Brandon Nakashima - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WLW?

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