Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.7	Watch
	1.51	2.72
	1.46	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.47	2.69	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
64.5%

Emilio Nava
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Tabilo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 71. Nava is ranked ATP: 81.

Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.35%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWW?W
- Emilio Nava
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Emilio Nava - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Emilio Nava - Kyrian Jacquet	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Emilio Nava - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Emilio Nava - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide