Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	SporTV 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alejandro Tabilo		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
			Watch
	1.50	2.60	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
63.6%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.20) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 3 - 60%). Etcheverry (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 51.

Now, both players are in good form.

Etcheverry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2

Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide