Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.72	Watch
	2.06	1.82
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.75)	1.78 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
46.5%

Alejandro Tabilo
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Tabilo will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 79.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Diaz Acosta (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Tabilo (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 301. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 73.

Diaz Acosta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tabilo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabilo might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLWW

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