Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Moore S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Alejandro Tabilo		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.65
	1.57	2.51
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.53	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
62.5%

Hugo Gaston
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alejandro Tabilo - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tabilo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
28.04.22	Hugo Gaston - Alejandro Tabilo	Gaston H. retired

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