Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Tourte A. (Fra)


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.85
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	2.01	1.83
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.54)	1.83 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
48.7%

Francesco Passaro
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Passaro will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 35% – 88%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kovacevic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Radu Albot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Lucas Miedler - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Ryan Nijboer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.24	Francesco Passaro - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

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