Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.5
	2.72	1.42	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (1.77)	1.45 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
34.8%

Juncheng Shang
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Shang will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Shang (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 67. Shang is ranked ATP: 238.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Shang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shang is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.08.22	Juncheng Shang - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1

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