Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Juncheng Shang		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.43	1.54	Watch
	2.27	1.69
	1.68	2.19	Watch
			Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
42.9%

Brandon Nakashima
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 66.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Shang (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juncheng Shang will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 138. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.45%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Juncheng Shang - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Shang J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?LL?
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jerome Kym	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches