Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.67	1.54
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.36)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
40.8%

Marcos Giron
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 97. Giron is ranked ATP: 76.

Kovacevic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Giron has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giron might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Potenza - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Novak Djokovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Marcos Giron
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Marcos Giron - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide