Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.51
	1.51	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.6	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	2.43 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
60.8%

Rei Sakamoto
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Aleksandar Kovacevic will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aleksandar Kovacevic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 92. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 164.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 58.99%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Novak Djokovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Vit Kopriva - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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