Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.46
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
60.5%

Moez Echargui
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Kovacevic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Echargui will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 99. Echargui is ranked ATP: 146.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Echargui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kovacevic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.43%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Moez Echargui - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Novak Djokovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Moez Echargui - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Moez Echargui - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide