Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.95
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
67.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Kovacevic (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 72.

Hurkacz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kovacevic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hurkacz is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Ethan Quinn	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLL?

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