Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
			Watch
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.63
	2.26	1.61	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.87)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.2%

Zhizhen Zhang
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhizhen Zhang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Zhang will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 95. Zhang is ranked ATP: 239.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Zhizhen Zhang - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Zdenek Kolar - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide