Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.6	Watch
	1.18	5.32
	1.19	4.53	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.19	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.39)	4.44 ↑ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
78.9%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Kovacevic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Kovacevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alejandro Tabilo - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Kovacevic (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 35. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 95.

Tabilo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kovacevic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tabilo is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:3

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