Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2


	Aleksandar Vukic		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	2.06
	1.75	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
53.9%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Aleksandar Vukic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zapata Miralles: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bernabe Zapata Miralles will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 83. Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 380.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zapata Miralles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vukic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Billy Harris - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Jaime Faria - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.10.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1

Aleksandar Vukic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide