Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Jakub Mensik		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.5
	2.72	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.69)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
36.6%

Lorenzo Musetti
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Jakub Mensik - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mensik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Musetti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Umag
25.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Umag
25.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
10.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2 ✺
08.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

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