Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Jakub Mensik		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3	1.4
	3.1	1.36
	3.05	1.39
	3.26	1.38
	3.15	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.08	1.38	Watch
	3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.44)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
31.2%

Tommy Paul
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jakub Mensik - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 65. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paul to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
26.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0 ✺
05.07.24	Tommy Paul - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.07.24	Tommy Paul - Otto Virtanen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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