Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.63
	2.34	1.65
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
42.7%

Hugo Gaston
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cadenasso will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 227. Gaston is ranked ATP: 116.

Cadenasso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gaston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Eduardo Ribeiro	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
22.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 L?WWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka	Glinka D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWW?

Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide