Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Alex Bolt		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.18
	1.63	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.53	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
56.6%

Ilia Simakin
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Simakin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 154. Simakin is ranked ATP: 219.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Alex Bolt - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alex Bolt - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Alex Bolt - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Tom Paris - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Ilia Simakin - Kuan-Yi Lee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL

Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide