Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Alex Bolt		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	2.53	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.63)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
41.4%

Mackenzie McDonald
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 221. McDonald is ranked ATP: 96.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 3.

Bolt has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

McDonald is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McDonald could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Billy Harris - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alex Bolt - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Alex Bolt - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Rigele Te - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex Bolt	2:0
19.06.21	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
02.02.21	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.18	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide