Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Alex De Minaur		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.36	3.20	Watch
	1.34	3.20
	1.34	3.30
	1.35	3.15	Watch
	1.32	3.12
	1.32	3.53	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
70.9%

Rei Sakamoto
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 9., and Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 137..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

De Minaur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to De Minaur for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan	De Minaur A. win ✺
ATP Beijing
06.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ???WW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Seong Chan Hong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

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