Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Brandon Nakashima		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	2.99	1.37	Watch
	3.31	1.38
	3.11	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.93	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
31.4%

Ben Shelton
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Nakashima (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Shelton (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Shelton is ranked ATP: 7.

Nakashima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shelton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shelton is considered a favorite.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	3:0
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Houston
05.04.24	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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