Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alex De Minaur		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.80
	1.25	3.77
	1.27	4.43
	1.3	3.68	Watch
	1.25	4.2
	1.28	3.82	Watch
	1.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)	3.93 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
75.7%

Flavio Cobolli
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	0%	42.1%

Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 38.5 Games - over (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Cobolli (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Cobolli (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Flavio Cobolli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 10.

De Minaur is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cobolli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cobolli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Roman Andres Burruchaga	3:0 ✺
ATP London
19.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Karen Khachanov - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	James Duckworth - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
24.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alex De Minaur	Cobolli F. retired
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli	3:0

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