Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Adrian Mannarino		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.54	1.50
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.73	1.46	Watch
	2.65	1.50
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
35.8%

Flavio Cobolli
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 83., and Cobolli is ranked ATP: 7..

Mannarino has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cobolli is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cobolli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cobolli holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Mannarino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.59%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?LWLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Roman Safiullin - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
26.09.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Francisco Comesana - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

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