Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FAIRFIELD (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4.25
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.2	4.76
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	3.81 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
74.8%

Aziz Dougaz
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alex Michelsen - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dougaz will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dougaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Brayden Schnur	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
04.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Aziz Dougaz - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Adam Walton - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Aziz Dougaz - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Christian Harrison - Aziz Dougaz	Harrison C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLW?

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