Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FAIRFIELD (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Alex Michelsen		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.91
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
67.6%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Alex Michelsen - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kwiatkowski is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Brayden Schnur	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Federico Agustin Gomez - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2

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