Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday


	Alex Michelsen		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	3.06	1.43
			Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.97	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.38)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
32.5%

Daniil Medvedev
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Medvedev (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Medvedev (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Medvedev (votes: 14 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Halle
18.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Alex Michelsen - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Halle
18.06.25	Quentin Halys - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Daniel Altmaier - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	Michelsen A. retired

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