Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.91	1.87	Watch
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.77	2.04
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.78	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
51.7%

Gael Monfils
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	0%	52%

Alex Michelsen - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Monfils will win (votes: 13 - 52%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Monfils (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Monfils is ranked ATP: 42.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Michelsen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Alex Michelsen - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alex Michelsen - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Gael Monfils - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
27.05.25	Gael Monfils - Hugo Dellien	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Gael Monfils - Andrey Rublev	Rublev A. walkover ✺
23.04.25	Gael Monfils - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?W

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