Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.93	1.95
	1.96	1.81	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.77)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
48.5%

Alex Michelsen
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 36.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Almaty
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
17.06.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	1:2

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