Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.20	1.67
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.64
	2.33	1.67
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.24	1.68	Watch
	2.22	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
42.5%

Jack Draper
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Alex Michelsen - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Draper will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jack Draper will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44. Draper is ranked ATP: 147.

Michelsen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Draper's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Jack Draper
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.26	Jack Draper - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jack Draper - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Jack Draper - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Marcos Giron - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?LWWW

Alex Michelsen - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide