Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Alex Michelsen		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.30	3.20	Watch
	1.26	3.45	Watch
	1.3	3.87
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.26	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	3.52 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
73.3%

Mark Lajal
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alex Michelsen - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44. Lajal is ranked ATP: 150.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Michelsen is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
11.07.26	Adam Walton - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Liam Broady - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WW?LW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
22.07.26	Mark Lajal - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Mark Lajal - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches