Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:30	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	18:30	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	18:30	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV1
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play


	Alex Michelsen		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.95
			Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	1.94 (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
50.8%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	0%	42.1%

Alex Michelsen - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 7 - 70%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 43.

Michelsen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bautista-Agut is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bautista-Agut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50.39%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Bernard Tomic - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP London
21.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWW

Alex Michelsen - Roberto Bautista-Agut