Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alex Michelsen		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.20
	1.3	3.4
	1.35	3.51
	1.32	3.54	Watch
	1.32	3.6
	1.33	3.47	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.29)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
72.3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Alex Michelsen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Michelsen (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Etcheverry (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 Sets - over (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 3 - 60%). Etcheverry (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 46. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 32.

Michelsen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Etcheverry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Michelsen is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Merida Aguilar	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Terence Atmane - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

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