Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.63	Watch
	2.12	1.59
	2.14	1.77
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
42.8%

Christian Garin
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alex Molcan - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Garin will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Molcan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Garin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Garin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP US Open
03.09.21	Alex Molcan - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:3 ✺
01.09.21	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Molcan	2:3 ✺
30.08.21	Alex Molcan - Cem Ilkel	3:1 ✺
27.08.21	Gastao Elias - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
26.08.21	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW
- Christian Garin
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Christian Garin - Henri Laaksonen	1:3 ✺
30.08.21	Christian Garin - Norbert Gombos	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Christian Garin - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
11.08.21	John Isner - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
23.07.21	Hugo Gaston - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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